Spike bucket
09/08/2026, 12:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/08/2026, 12:03:00 A.M. to 09/08/2026, 12:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 370.86
Unexplained QUAI: 759.12
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
56
Observable rows
6
10.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
70
Asset volume
1,129.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1130 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/08/2026, 12:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
323.35 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
108.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
108.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Net sender
Unknown type
105.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
38.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 323.35 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:02:39 A.M.
+1 min
56 tx
1,129.98 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:03:50 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,586.71 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:01:28 A.M.
+2 min
25 tx
825.43 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:05:02 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:00:17 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
33.3 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:06:13 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/07/2026, 11:59:04 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
55.63 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:07:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
108.9 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:03:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
38.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:03:45 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x0039a67c3AD88e97800F775234fC872B53BdE524
Tx: 0x0067007003040d8f6f73a6f0288d6ed54c1be35aae2442253d91d8ed20f7c4f9
108.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:03:17 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0077003d32ebbc878c7dea47014711b5f4bed994d666febfa91f2cb0e12c10ef
105.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:03:17 A.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004600619e4e07298b7bce7a5f41106eff451c3438a565e0f9a43089b2380eb8
108.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:03:17 A.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0015004fd8780b29e1e4806d3233a3ebef81d4764658d623769bcea7c47df87e
4.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:03:17 A.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0049002d0e3570cc2254470f0694c9777645e0c0bc23ebf77522ff864bb60bf8
4.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:03:17 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00640053f48329a74e46296099550bf5e2b4290f2e8afc3eb026860dbcf1fb3f