Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 10:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 10:51:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 10:52:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,009.03
Unexplained QUAI: 39,987.16
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
59,996.19 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 59996 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 10:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x008d52773454bc17fd1A830Dc248a21402060b35
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
59,996.19 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:51:23 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:50:12 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:49:01 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate15 tx
60,125.1 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:52:35 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:47:50 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
94.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:53:47 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:46:39 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
2.44 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:54:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.03 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:51:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:51:36 P.M.
From: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
To: 0x003B7d0A2404E8ca2bd3E785f489b628d24a1d01
Tx: 0x002900552bad39fcfa1993ca12c1de64c73974c5a50f94251f4f06b7109079e6
19,999.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:51:36 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x001800738bd7ce173d0d1155b544a4056ef363c1bc4d8eccdfd6d33cf6bc5d7f
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:51:00 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x008d52773454bc17fd1A830Dc248a21402060b35
Tx: 0x001400a04680a9c5580d1450f371aace274cca95509ab26de46543dfdb075167