Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 10:29:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 10:29:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 10:30:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,147.24
Unexplained QUAI: 40,192.87
Explained QI: 700
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
60,340.11 QUAI
700 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 60340 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c -> 0x00db15C1900427507F22238b65f81d77474F7957 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 10:29:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00db15C1900427507F22238b65f81d77474F7957
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
148.22 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c → 0x00db15C1900427507F22238b65f81d77474F7957
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
250 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:28:43 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:27:32 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
60,340.11 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:29:54 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
20,051.6 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:31:05 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:26:22 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
30,195.19 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:32:17 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
29,996 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:25:11 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
19,998.62 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:33:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.02 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:29:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:29:54 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00db15C1900427507F22238b65f81d77474F7957
Tx: 0x000600049b8c29c81658d57d38b5c6053c5fcedfb6a4d34e1f8a8300e4068a51
19,999.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:29:54 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x006c0020fc0d11d900d0f062ee70db1375514417862169b430c199d18bc7d9d1
52.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:29:54 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0009F6BD6f80688AA6194E6e962d9C403810D8aE
Tx: 0x00360058d7f2bfa61d0ffa9540873e797413cd0e69fa1e7ffd398897d4142609
95.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:29:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0032e1629eDf553A2c22E853166F2F312D3484E4
Tx: 0x000b002d0025917995a90efdb80d7bfd413fc0c075f53cde4e273b4e6f19d93b
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:29:01 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00db15C1900427507F22238b65f81d77474F7957
Tx: 0x0012002715c0f6265f8c0edcbe22ea2eb3de1c8b38a9718dc0aa8db32862f61b