Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 10:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 10:19:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 10:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,999.02
Unexplained QUAI: 29,996.43
Explained QI: 100
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
2.1x previous minute
2.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
49,995.45 QUAI
100 QI
Avg confidence
90.5%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 49995 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c -> 0x00D8Af479470aEe94A359ab8b19856b9d368185A (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 10:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
102.93 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00D8Af479470aEe94A359ab8b19856b9d368185A
Net receiver
Unknown type
102.93 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c → 0x00D8Af479470aEe94A359ab8b19856b9d368185A
3 repeated flows • 100 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
49,995.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:19:11 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
23,275.35 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:18:00 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
19,999.02 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:20:23 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
19,998.61 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:16:49 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
19,998.61 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:15:38 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
19,998.61 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:21:35 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
39,996.27 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:22:46 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:14:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.02 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:19:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1.47 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:19:59 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00D8Af479470aEe94A359ab8b19856b9d368185A
Tx: 0x000300ede7ceae06fcc998f86f70d643fb7ddf2b60703e190a724acba1e578f3
100 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:19:53 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00D8Af479470aEe94A359ab8b19856b9d368185A
Tx: 0x00610031623ffd7ef8d5d0550c9f6810dc5f06216d17d064046e28dd6817f429
1.46 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:19:31 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00D8Af479470aEe94A359ab8b19856b9d368185A
Tx: 0x006800d3aae58f4dc081ba2a682e16ee0687cca2fec02efa242e1cfe42ebd62d
19,999.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:19:31 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0032004398c1540c3bff0264680e22ebbab44792ebc63fdba9b745e411a090d2