Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 10:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 10:06:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 10:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 264.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 30
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
30 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 10:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net sender
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
13.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
13.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00126644f5284eCeEfbd4601D7d13607169b2372
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:06:07 P.M.
-1 min
35 tx
21,014.32 QUAI • 48 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:04:55 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
264.38 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:07:18 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate55 tx
21,493.67 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:03:43 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:08:29 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:02:32 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
20,874.75 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:09:40 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
760.51 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:01:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
250 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:06:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
13.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:06:48 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x004800376413d3ca667f638309076e1d3888964a704e3fa7774252e7e3bb5995
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:06:48 P.M.
From: 0x00126644f5284eCeEfbd4601D7d13607169b2372
To: 0x000270230fC676509c6153F649CEF1B73cdCf170
Tx: 0x001d0002fd755ace105da9b66de9a3555a474619465d913a3ac667187bea40cd
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:06:48 P.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x007c0068575a0c0f4f1c3333df86f7ba20375feb530f5501e79cc0d85b59e049