Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 8:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 8:03:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 8:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 569.34
Unexplained QUAI: 770.81
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
1.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
58
Observable rows
8
13.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
74
Asset volume
1,340.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1340 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 8:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
553.27 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
123.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
115.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
112.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007962cFaB5DE96794e11e7B5E8EffDd40494e8B
Net sender
Unknown type
101.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 553.27 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/07/2026, 8:02:38 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate58 tx
1,340.15 QUAI • 74 addresses
09/07/2026, 8:03:49 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
1,020.28 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/07/2026, 8:01:27 P.M.
+2 min
22 tx
900.25 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/07/2026, 8:05:03 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/07/2026, 8:00:15 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/07/2026, 8:06:14 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 7:59:04 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
13.09 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 8:07:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
123.75 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 8:03:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
115.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 8:03:30 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021005472cfa6e006e895ce5c2d2814a834e24a47046b0be30b06f6c620db8e
101.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 8:03:30 P.M.
From: 0x007962cFaB5DE96794e11e7B5E8EffDd40494e8B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d0037f4d0590155b04ef7a6e8c23f8d8407203085bd255b37fb1e2596d087
99.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 8:03:30 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000600318889aac2cec809e9fcdb004324de97a7bac16bb632b9096274b99a6b
123.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 8:03:30 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e00619b8751162380a7fcb032e9fbb24661f09c25047bcac9deda8423306c
112.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 8:03:30 P.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054006a625f7d727e2131d3e252d29e1e6cee17f107d2dd57a3f6cbf3a4b84f
5.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 8:03:30 P.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001f0059498145bca6605b4f24f5d56de5971926433ef9446d525d68fbcde36f
3.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 8:03:30 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0015004af5f6059987555c997c1673d3149e19967815e76f665075e438676d19
6.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 8:03:30 P.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0010006f37087effe2c4ac0ec6182035bc07d8d6c892b076adc1eca4db31ccca