Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 6:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 6:38:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 6:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,999.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
9,999.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 6:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,999.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,999.13 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
30,924.76 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/07/2026, 6:37:20 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
9,999.13 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 6:38:31 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/07/2026, 6:36:09 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/07/2026, 6:39:44 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 6:34:59 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 6:40:55 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
6,817.9 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/07/2026, 6:33:47 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 6:42:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 6:38:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
4,999.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 6:38:28 P.M.
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0008e7810bb6a891a874554104962cd6281fe5d35fac813afdc499a9b82d
4,999.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 6:38:28 P.M.
From: 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00340054219edf29f52e0b695d13ba86df06c9bd722bd7bb19f1463dca649778