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Spike bucket

09/07/2026, 3:42:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/07/2026, 3:42:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 3:43:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,907
Unexplained QUAI: 48,593
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
101x previous minute
26x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
50,500 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828 • 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 50500 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828 • 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 3:42:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
Net sender
Unknown type
1,407 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,407 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

1,407 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:42:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
To: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1

All transfers in this selected minute

2 transactions
1,407 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:42:49 P.M.
From: 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
To: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Tx: 0x006200593d75f94df3380b85e8e4c0a72b81e2394f23b238abb64a6abfb22670
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:42:03 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00500012435ceb58a947d722814b944d50e601b1f24e13b56113019ecd30351b