Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 3:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 3:35:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 3:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 286,863.05
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
110,536.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 110537 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 3:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
269,522.88 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
Net receiver
Unknown type
145,231.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002c2913A20d437048d691f7762427F0d3C92B16
Net receiver
Unknown type
73,997.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0065AbB8d6f9283ee5614885D294740d6A9DC46A
Net receiver
Unknown type
36,539.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
Net sender
Unknown type
16,840.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 269,522.88 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
110,536.72 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:35:20 P.M.
-1 min
17 tx
655,571.28 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:34:07 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
273,694 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:32:55 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
195,673.48 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:36:30 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
30,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:31:44 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:30:33 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
5,905.43 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:38:53 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate20 tx
727,390.44 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:40:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
145,231.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:35:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
16,840.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:35:57 P.M.
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Tx: 0x0028003f2ae5ceff28876f09887499c5cc03c9fcb4f0865c177a9d98cdbd9a14
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:35:57 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001b000887ead225e016a05554966ddcfe054dcec8fd862d67172978acf70944
13,754.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:35:22 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0049A83DB8574541C54679DfaE54e09034C5b385
Tx: 0x00590078414af860405a0b6f36a4459e8faa67fd9ffa777e019ba874a96396bb
145,231.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:35:22 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
Tx: 0x00430021496e7aee8ab13693e552a4f703a882b82df3e3f79e93ae6c812e13ba
73,997.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:35:03 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x002c2913A20d437048d691f7762427F0d3C92B16
Tx: 0x0071001e6f580a9aa2b2808d8aa36fbf956b4cfa95b9e703ecf4e08a4f5da7c6
36,539.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:35:03 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0065AbB8d6f9283ee5614885D294740d6A9DC46A
Tx: 0x004d0010f14ef845239cb9a9fa508b08fcce8218212cc2d38fcc214e0f31c71e