Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 3:28:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 3:29:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
23% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50,060.49
Unexplained QUAI: 164,738.92
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
4.6x above local average
4.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
214,799.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 214799 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
32,232.07 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net receiver
Unknown type
23,210.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
16,721.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00684e813DFbf309AeBAA01f7270770acCf01395
Net receiver
Unknown type
16,721.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,053.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 16,721.26 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
214,799.41 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:28:10 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
50,060.49 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:29:22 P.M.
-2 min
27 tx
14,497.54 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:25:44 P.M.
-3 min
23 tx
18,476.76 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:24:31 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:30:33 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
30,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:31:44 P.M.
-5 min
34 tx
47,438.74 QUAI • 50 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:23:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
23,210.99 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:28:43 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
23,210.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:28:43 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Tx: 0x0078005bf6643ff4dfa9a618d226d9b91007fba674a29c1f703670f6d37088d6
1,107.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:28:21 P.M.
From: 0x00642Bd5C4a9520a485d53F4aA472205Add5d8f0
To: 0x0074A61f9c186499774871Fc59aFe28FeA88d94b
Tx: 0x0056006c5d2a391112e1d28c4c6f5e65d6e7a20ccff759822241bbca29fe259d
16,721.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:28:21 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00684e813DFbf309AeBAA01f7270770acCf01395
Tx: 0x004d001a93ac8ed9994a8e7a90248b5ef409639093d5efd99e9ac7586945b446
5,053.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:28:21 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Tx: 0x000d006ccace28a0db6af469e82f9f8931070833cc36fb0b63dcbb33c54f5885
1,531.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:28:21 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Tx: 0x005a0022de3d485f0ec422523973788aa4e38eee8eed3bba5c531d77ca4a067d
2,436 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:28:21 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0012fb08D24Be68c8EcdAd727333e4CB8A18f529
Tx: 0x005c006483875dd79f1ee093c5f8da2ba8cc9ec85cf94babef99c8a052a51cc7