Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 3:22:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,615.52
Unexplained QUAI: 527,496.17
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
6.1x above local average
12x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
8
38.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
550,111.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 550112 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 46
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
22,615.52 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
Net sender
Unknown type
3,921.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00317b655B2F755eF6Ae41F8A290B2d1A59ADb07
Net sender
Unknown type
3,077.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Net sender
Unknown type
2,879.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Net sender
Unknown type
2,743.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 22,615.52 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate21 tx
550,111.69 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:22:05 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:20:53 P.M.
+1 min
34 tx
47,438.74 QUAI • 50 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:23:18 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:19:42 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
37,192.49 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:18:30 P.M.
+3 min
23 tx
18,476.76 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:24:31 P.M.
+4 min
27 tx
14,497.54 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:25:44 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
55,529.43 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:17:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,921.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:22:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
3,077.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:22:28 P.M.
From: 0x00317b655B2F755eF6Ae41F8A290B2d1A59ADb07
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00070046a3435391844e9f46a988d61d58f657eb482b919eeb7c493467169819
2,391.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:22:28 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004AeC00875BcAc8b246F75a9375B5521f475A85
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061006558ac91176df8c925e89f878957a74e7a05b04ca23260ebd67b9635d9
3,921.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:22:28 P.M.
From: 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00230042dcaa08472f73863e61e812bda2344db7387c67e0cf62bdbe8518b783
2,309.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:22:28 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004Ed2aD1228f815B4A18177B4dEc58ba8010f48
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c00181997e211d9f254be5afed6205c5dbfc88b61d0db5735557e32bdaa45
2,721.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:22:28 P.M.
From: 0x0052178a5A0403Cf2F9cbd07AC4267b87403BC51
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026004d508530a076f10888ffbabc6efce9a2a32453ef3cf02948bd73803ed1
2,879.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:22:28 P.M.
From: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b0019e6d63f703dc3250b55033169b7a1affd8274a95aa1e96aeffe95a03a
2,743.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:22:28 P.M.
From: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0075003ee8db4bdb78ddb4e205934638daf08a4a8bcf6de7c15db29377ef7348
2,571.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:22:28 P.M.
From: 0x001503755171A49047030c9b244c3DbD505911b0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00410062518abab8c35dedd8d8fdb5f29da323265c764fa15dbc8ec4bc234162