Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 3:14:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 107,616.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
107,616.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c • 0x00307AA4B0480EE5382F4815FC2a08a00d68D60C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 107617 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c • 0x00307AA4B0480EE5382F4815FC2a08a00d68D60C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Net sender
Unknown type
48,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00307AA4B0480EE5382F4815FC2a08a00d68D60C
Net receiver
Unknown type
48,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
23,633.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Net receiver
Unknown type
23,633.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 23,633.03 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:13:42 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:12:31 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
107,616.92 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:14:53 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
47,998.81 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:16:07 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:11:20 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
55,529.43 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:17:19 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:10:10 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
471.01 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:08:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
48,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
To: 0x00307AA4B0480EE5382F4815FC2a08a00d68D60C
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
23,633.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:32 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Tx: 0x00090006a23f42d6fe9fa38a1193409bf0bd38c5aa36d0186405839ec19bab00
48,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:07 P.M.
From: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
To: 0x00307AA4B0480EE5382F4815FC2a08a00d68D60C
Tx: 0x00430047bb03048f1d2804039af9d02dd7e7e59c5f46f55ca97f44fb31c12bbb
19,999.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:07 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0059007e3c2d3bc88dc5f22898d94e45a7cff72f6c0d76e02525c258e19a7169
15,984.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:07 P.M.
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Tx: 0x0065001a78279e0bb39b7fd7ab2644618ac5afe5336633af0978b16e8189fac7