Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 2:10:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
30% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 49.67
Unexplained QUAI: 114.64
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
164.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x007F3Cc29e7C837cf2F924e033A27761771d0090.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 164 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x007F3Cc29e7C837cf2F924e033A27761771d0090.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (70% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (30%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
49.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F3Cc29e7C837cf2F924e033A27761771d0090
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
792.21 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:09:32 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
164.31 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:10:43 P.M.
-2 min
24 tx
940.38 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:08:21 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
4.15 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:11:57 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
50.35 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:07:10 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
11.76 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:13:09 P.M.
-4 min
51 tx
1,476.41 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:05:59 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.18 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:14:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
49.67 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:10:16 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x007F3Cc29e7C837cf2F924e033A27761771d0090
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
49.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:10:16 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x007F3Cc29e7C837cf2F924e033A27761771d0090
Tx: 0x001c007bd49ce45ce6ce3843f754b3216a1a02f06b8ced734d54f6162c512de5