Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 2:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 2:08:00 P.M. to 09/07/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
59% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 558.01
Unexplained QUAI: 382.37
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
19x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
24
Observable rows
3
12.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
36
Asset volume
940.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 940 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 2:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (41% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (59%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
305.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953
Net receiver
Unknown type
305.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
252.9 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
Net sender
Unknown type
150.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
102.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 252.9 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
24 tx
940.38 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:08:21 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
50.35 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:07:10 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate51 tx
1,476.41 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:05:59 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
792.21 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:09:32 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:04:47 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
164.31 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:10:43 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:03:37 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
4.15 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:11:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
305.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:08:55 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
150.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:08:55 P.M.
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c001db66fef42bc30e42c2d8ad944ca1d0fa23b9f7983c21bec514f64bb2e
102.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:08:55 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079002dab114ecfa80e66d8b21beaa44e0a87be64d15e215850270509f32228
305.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:08:55 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953
Tx: 0x0041003c8656f1c251b257d31fcc9268c4f436d5a4112578f3a0140a616dfbe8