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Spike bucket

09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M. to 09/07/2026, 10:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
89% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 801.04
Unexplained QUAI: 99.08
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 18% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
7
87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
900.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 900 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
801.04 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
142.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x005001a4674aDa44105f5db494b88A4D8B113fE4
Net sender
Unknown type
118.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
112.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
112.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 801.04 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Alert contextSignal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min-5 min-1 min+1 min+5 min+15 minRaw alerts API
7 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
900.12 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:09:25 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:08:14 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
24 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:07:03 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:10:37 A.M.
-3 min
26 tx
744.89 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:05:52 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:11:47 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
54.09 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:04:37 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
16.94 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 10:12:58 A.M.

Biggest whale alert

142.17 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
105.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x00140382Bc5DDBa35cA720A835B607eF4720A05B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0032002a99dd32625b9e7c0ee3dcae243d5389bbe7ae4de779eace5e2db098cb
Open txWallet profile
105.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x003Bf2Af543544F1415deA8149d24bF90C23b8b4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c002ff539f2843b162c9746591e5318d7bf72fe39350440f6515cafe23d73
Open txWallet profile
104.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a00476624ebfbaa4bdcc91a8fcb42ded700031ce5fab8bb6a990de3dcf9ac
Open txWallet profile
112.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018006ea6fe35024c316e56510252af7995912ca9b98e0a7136fee703f2a54e
Open txWallet profile
112.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640056bb38e38d414a0c67a23ecd13bd7e6ceb18a0010c0cf6d4d650816da3
Open txWallet profile
118.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x005001a4674aDa44105f5db494b88A4D8B113fE4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007000184be5a2b3391abff18e5b483f567f7f67d84d6dc5ec9fd9b92efff61e
Open txWallet profile
142.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0044001c3b518f57372dbe6c3350d346926ed771b5fad37670d5dfb5140e3a00
Open txWallet profile