Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 3:14:00 A.M. to 09/07/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 87,448.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
72,439.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004CAFC170b8227B947c81fBbd27048E7267b536 • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 72439 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004CAFC170b8227B947c81fBbd27048E7267b536 • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004CAFC170b8227B947c81fBbd27048E7267b536
Net sender
Unknown type
39,521 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Net receiver
Unknown type
39,521 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,337.84 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
1,341.15 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:13:40 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
72,439.04 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:14:51 A.M.
-2 min
21 tx
53,583.88 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:12:28 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
19,266.33 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:16:02 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
21,600.27 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:11:17 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
823.9 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:17:13 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
6,955.42 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:10:05 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,414.84 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 3:18:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
39,521 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004CAFC170b8227B947c81fBbd27048E7267b536
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
671.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007b56BF094A9BcB898Bf7D56A1D1dA85E717624
Tx: 0x006e002c535855a851d86fd4df3e8c9dfc2db99c9de187e6d42e876074972455
824.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000a006f9bc3abe41fbc73f311b8d98d8a6be3428a85921a92a7b331dc32b78c
783.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003b007bd028bd34a37e3bd781c8627a75eb6c463eb46da415e51c14468d11aa
1,185.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x004E24C5DD33FB5f4865e26F8BB891beF3347e4D
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00260067f7d048b371c16ff1413bda131babd3852ab1af692922447e7b1fa5f3
9,475.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000a00327dadd68dc12f663eb40a6bce7ed2b71dcd4de44ee1c67132a490560a
101.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x006953D1Ab02af55cF5851BB0f593837a98EFaA8
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000700237097fbb9057409eda8e5839b6bdfbb68c5a100a2e521312b3eecd8ce
1,643.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0071005860f9f446e6989d1c822f626555a88c98bcfba9774916710f0e02437a
49.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x006B20F25dd974f27Ac8CabBd4791Ed04C37a687
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002f0021f132fd499686c2171915366d4e71c7c50e1803704633d6048262f535
265.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x007660347A0fC5A9E1bd5f7ec58D4B6344eEcE5b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002a00337970a3944a157c03d0d1b5e57ebeea497595e92bc93fe78c62053c32
8.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00270019b047c1750eb6e7eccde4e8947e1908a0813f406786609f53e752bde3
10,101.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C
Tx: 0x0058007e85a99413d1a1b57c8c910ae2b27a78ea0e7972964157e8ce2b766c32
52.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007aFE0D5eaCBE2319D18E6560b79a3ee8e0C8DE
Tx: 0x002000449f94eafda6625a5f09bed7971db27f17f0346dbe8d61db95765e9ff9
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:23 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0017007e024062ba881702d43984cbfa0157336451ea89cf2de3d669400d9145
2,764.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Tx: 0x0041000fd84a37bcfa54719dd53b4a0cf752ab319fc8ddba1a1dd5e96167c407
39,521 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
From: 0x004CAFC170b8227B947c81fBbd27048E7267b536
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x003c004bbc44c9e17990caedfedb6ad4451f7e90cbff114faa2c3eece6b5f432
