Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 2:54:00 A.M. to 09/07/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
25% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,104.41
Unexplained QUAI: 39,135.14
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
2.1x previous minute
24x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
24
Observable rows
9
37.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
52,239.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 52240 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
10,013.16 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,476.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,265.66 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,439.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Net receiver
Unknown type
825.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 825.59 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate24 tx
52,239.55 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:54:27 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
24,896.61 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:53:16 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
47,682.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:52:05 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
2,182.81 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:55:40 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
11,217.79 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:50:53 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
40,967.79 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:56:50 A.M.
-4 min
26 tx
22,436.88 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:49:41 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
6,770.24 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:58:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,476.5 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:54:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
9,476.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:54:18 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Tx: 0x0038005feb9d66fc8526cfe87f7646b5118941f2ba6ab974e0c5f9c188359667
1,439.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:54:18 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x00670010cea3b8eb830f306736a59ac0eaa5f3bab6a239a6c86073bb54f6455b
825.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:54:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Tx: 0x007600209219339b79b7856b32fa39f492ef6cb7b3bd560b7ba04a2f7f644727
536.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:54:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Tx: 0x00460008c33c0c999addc97cae36dccb8831db9c1713b4031eff43be794caa7c
123.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:54:11 A.M.
From: 0x0047Fe6d90707678c7D25ca3b6e0e20592F8a17d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00670007e8d7cb22398e46f2916dccb9440140e44733978854d573b6386f41de
201.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:54:11 A.M.
From: 0x0061afA0d19BB0a7811E41C3eEB4E8884473F1f6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019001f1d99457bb124a749293a1dac7f9a259ff7f5a98e277d4d5d18bd26d1
185.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:54:11 A.M.
From: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0060007d2ea20ab8411961936df857b55a35007d7036d48b3f281d3b7976a990
189.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:54:11 A.M.
From: 0x006da86e430038348C647af027052dD73F59DDba
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c005341036ca111ce3f7976c89389adfb3f72bc9be0e0d9f20303bbd42e4a
125.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:54:11 A.M.
From: 0x006c9d5Df104e4E6612510Cb732e9140632592e7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068007d7456326b1d2d7b09a63d688ace350c4efb35b88e6bc28fc0c14af247