Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 2:14:00 A.M. to 09/07/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
52% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,964.64
Unexplained QUAI: 30,859.04
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
4.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
10
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
63,823.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 63824 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (48% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (52%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
30,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
30,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,901.43 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,510.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
763.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,807.49 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:13:48 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:12:38 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate14 tx
63,823.68 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:14:59 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
4,395.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:16:13 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
798 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:11:27 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
6,164.48 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:17:24 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
30,314.67 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:10:16 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:09:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
30,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:40 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
140.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:49 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00058401DB813D320a45542D36D6700FdBa5eF94
Tx: 0x000000061c2eb30d6b3cf79e39eb783b803143105df062217839cd13456c2082
443.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9
Tx: 0x007800721444bc824cd904d897138fbf3586bbb2d0a3bbf559ed5ad46ea25c29
1,510.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
Tx: 0x002b0045ea18ea5204fae63eede23432a87cd37f279b9a6d1858e352314e9c57
145.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0005720d8a71952b975908C4F65ec78fff89869A
Tx: 0x00090052bbd421b6884e7b84526597b497e3e93ddf74a014459e3208a6bb6164
391.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0000A7e513516dFFaAd6EE1Cc5CD5F3C229c8c90
Tx: 0x002800686c4f64e85ce66bab86f39c5e7ffb230075580168634c25d136d656fa
320.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000053177CA489a839d9D735D497C97b8D9d6E0A
Tx: 0x0042007188fab5e105cac4d18bbb705b397bdf2e781150bff72dada461643633
30,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x001a00349d228df9a8d203ae7928a59ce2789ac2fd07cf3ecda4fef3892a93fb
4.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001b0038deb7c73c65d92df190669c193dfe378a5beeac262d1f752e539fef79
3.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005c002cd38875fc5a5bc1e34d50e91d2c6b8d13b9dbdbe9826e7e92b0f4d4cd
4.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:14:40 A.M.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001a004c5556c79566cdaef0ce9f7ba51b1df36e5839dffb694da41fd519cede