Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 2:06:00 A.M. to 09/07/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 723.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
546.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 547 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
530.99 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
176.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Net receiver
Unknown type
176.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net sender
Unknown type
115.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003f642147dAcc1BaDe456189Cb9e28b5B34d2F7
Net sender
Unknown type
107.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 530.99 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
20 tx
1,562.39 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:05:33 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
546.59 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:06:44 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
1,627.2 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:04:19 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
388.23 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:07:55 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:09:05 A.M.
-4 min
50 tx
1,786.14 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:01:59 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
30,314.67 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:10:16 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
115.64 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:00:48 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
176.81 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:06:56 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
176.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:06:56 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Tx: 0x00520032473031621f9edaa897df3ffd7fb8228e6c14ec0cb4af291b4fecf2a5
115.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:06:15 A.M.
From: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0060007e0bae09fbdf5e84f901de01be91bd027368a24d26ce8db6fdc0528eb3
107.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:06:15 A.M.
From: 0x003f642147dAcc1BaDe456189Cb9e28b5B34d2F7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00330026b7d68f222ad92b1413330a256bc194d8f69de0392449f6106a5aee79
100.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:06:15 A.M.
From: 0x00354f90F9dFc47a634B404775F913DA33AA0653
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001300038fc113591141f48f52639ebb9e54c83a004acc3744b549c6410bd60a
106.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:06:15 A.M.
From: 0x00207ff1171b4889763af8cc79472d0dA9907FC9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063005ea1ee265d0aa6cdf38b68dbbd5b5a2fd3710d56cdc40ca8661e30c2cd
100.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:06:15 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0071001268e21e5d5296958ba98204cbe21de7ae7a5da7614fb864a4ff955374
12.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:06:15 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x000d0011ac59999ba7e652e6b6ed05fed68dcc0732e2045660df77878765a32c
2.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:06:15 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x001c0031768e02864e2d7838cd304057944b15d227ba91708fb87a23eab96a1e