Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 2:05:00 A.M. to 09/07/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
27% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 429.39
Unexplained QUAI: 1,133
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
4
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
1,562.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1562 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (73% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (27%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
376.36 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
141.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
119.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
115.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
53.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 376.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
50 tx
1,627.2 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:04:19 A.M.
+1 min
20 tx
1,562.39 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:05:33 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
546.59 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:06:44 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,786.14 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:01:59 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
388.23 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:07:55 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
115.64 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:00:48 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:09:05 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
139.27 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 1:59:38 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
141.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:05:22 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
141.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:05:22 A.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00290011c57928d095bbda4c7c660bbf42360eb8102edba0f79fbb1bc16a1447
115.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:05:22 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035006a7a1514e03ea8078cda4235e560641013e0f781bb39a4b7e4ea7d760c
119.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:05:22 A.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0044005f2f521c1cc02d8fa60ab0c2e4136104d3b33fc087f2b3c6b719978c1f
53.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:05:10 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000782c20ae9bd4Ac49789cC43883E5C3d870f05
Tx: 0x007a005a41a9ad9116623fb3717513acfdb0695dde7034baab5886729b5416f3