Spike bucket
09/07/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/07/2026, 2:04:00 A.M. to 09/07/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
70% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,133
Unexplained QUAI: 494.2
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
16
32.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
64
Asset volume
1,627.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 1627 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/07/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (30% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
801.64 QUAI across 13 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
315.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Net receiver
Unknown type
315.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
314.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
279.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,627.2 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:04:19 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,786.14 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:01:59 A.M.
+2 min
20 tx
1,562.39 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:05:33 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
115.64 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:00:48 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
546.59 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:06:44 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
139.27 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/07/2026, 1:59:38 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
388.23 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:07:55 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/07/2026, 2:09:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
315.58 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
All transfers in this selected minute
16 transactions
315.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Tx: 0x0038002f160ea02e78e2252916e5eb1e89df2dd36577944efc020beb14acd9e2
7.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x0065Ad0AAf015bD13caCeB124Bb432f31F1157Ce
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0045003253c0e0b6d2daa31a22dc17a7542e7d53b458fa761871e1913c448dba
7.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0060000f0c6602757b00a0f63373e9ac5951c470e1b97f1d1b9cf2e15d0fd3eb
28.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
Tx: 0x0032000a2a898129ac2106a9c2d0868f57b5bc55f9c35c2af86d5296e2c1c1f8
279.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x006d001a0f4857d4ce19666d38cdc19e3f6afd1e3912dac0556e7fc4320cc8c4
13.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Tx: 0x004d00392ee8cc4278a1be430df2a61b7b16b525683a8d7801b2783bbb04c2ca
16.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x002f000b30b8367257c57389a77faa52dd383576a2f862208e251aac2d62f7c3
10.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Tx: 0x00620042a138f93ee43c01bb828c9176e3160f841506689b79ce150ffaa372ef
314.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x001a002f3346718615e44564263c7df8c647b1ca320d71a2362af40a6904a892
4.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x00000045b63961d4631b904d6c1c127e8cd759c6b6e28210c4c72b7535068e09
6.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Tx: 0x002b0068ed87453af637923aed47faf21ea67a394d7ce1fc11550393f8307438
8.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
Tx: 0x000f0058b7d8109451d7d4a5f95c841714ce8cf8c22f9924b978d231ec5951c7
5.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
Tx: 0x002d0018f3e5204cc6a9f091e737909e1cc3da10a089b5b36b3e8d7ed6c02b85
5.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x00620078303af90339fb4870d80101d3e117857a5dca0dbd6ce50dbaa78d838a
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002CB9e989ADEFb45a1ea0448c509DF7Cd2677eC
Tx: 0x00290042adf4bac66e1f660aa9e4159d26e596b368e96f0aa22efcccb46da122
97.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/07/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x005b00581c72b079c0bdc1e74a5ced6b3212c5ffe1d66f226ff92ec5ee36a382
