Spike bucket
09/06/2026, 8:01:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/06/2026, 8:01:00 P.M. to 09/06/2026, 8:02:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
37% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 823.99
Unexplained QUAI: 1,406.55
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
2
3.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
61
Asset volume
2,230.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0064210622Ae7F6c3371f7eDB667c1f0dEca19A0 • 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2231 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0064210622Ae7F6c3371f7eDB667c1f0dEca19A0 • 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/06/2026, 8:01:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0064210622Ae7F6c3371f7eDB667c1f0dEca19A0
Net sender
Unknown type
760 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
Net receiver
Unknown type
760 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
63.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
Net receiver
Unknown type
63.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/06/2026, 8:00:39 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate52 tx
2,230.55 QUAI • 61 addresses
09/06/2026, 8:01:50 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/06/2026, 7:59:21 P.M.
+2 min
51 tx
1,187.71 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/06/2026, 8:03:01 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/06/2026, 7:58:01 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
293.53 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/06/2026, 7:56:43 P.M.
+4 min
27 tx
1,920.66 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/06/2026, 8:05:22 P.M.
-6 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/06/2026, 7:55:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
760 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 8:01:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0064210622Ae7F6c3371f7eDB667c1f0dEca19A0
To: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
760 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 8:01:30 P.M.
From: 0x0064210622Ae7F6c3371f7eDB667c1f0dEca19A0
To: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
Tx: 0x006d0022cbb529e65c63b533cb0c62c1028ab8223fbb62c218b622d5675942e3
63.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 8:01:30 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
Tx: 0x0005001504645c1c3d239228802f0c86ef9dd6b1c795a7b6ad6c9f75561055bb