Spike bucket
09/06/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/06/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 09/06/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,882.78
Unexplained QUAI: 9,825.82
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.6x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
24
Observable rows
10
41.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
41
Asset volume
16,708.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 16709 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/06/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,382.78 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
2,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013a1119303c4d1131d363Cb88d72a6856AfF4A
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000bac590bF29eF380733C864145397f54b227E6
Net sender
Unknown type
573.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
Net sender
Unknown type
501.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,382.78 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
24 tx
16,708.6 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/06/2026, 3:25:01 P.M.
-1 min
20 tx
29,566.27 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/06/2026, 3:23:43 P.M.
+1 min
30 tx
18,304.86 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/06/2026, 3:26:14 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate25 tx
530,706.72 QUAI • 46 addresses
09/06/2026, 3:22:22 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
8,499.55 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/06/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/06/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/06/2026, 3:28:53 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/06/2026, 3:19:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0013a1119303c4d1131d363Cb88d72a6856AfF4A
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
2,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:44 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0013a1119303c4d1131d363Cb88d72a6856AfF4A
Tx: 0x0009006d2bd889bbebb7b4f2e05193532287f974be3f2b3a99438481e9a74fec
473.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:33 P.M.
From: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0019d9f705bd87d7efcfc85bf0be79d1c3324b3dfea5d3a9a17ad7c3816d
484.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:33 P.M.
From: 0x000Cac6a584d4dC760f104240207bCdB71C09d2B
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b0026b50ac76b756f0c749251fcc01cd8a5dd2372b4d2cafc7774acd25983
482.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:33 P.M.
From: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f00126e092fe56559ba7d598d46059e00ad5c6bd7e8364f4a0de4c931d8fb
458.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:33 P.M.
From: 0x000C11662eE5319eFc008367C8C2BD47bFc81584
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00790031350363a79d7d739d1c0d482fb0d15887406acf57cf0a76495d62a2ab
457.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:09 P.M.
From: 0x00491387fc64F7DCB8e462951Ea69383704e6bF3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a0007a457d81cabfe6d8009d473b5e9008ad4021253d29af75e8943d6dc0c
493.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:09 P.M.
From: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00350001d843d8b1499214e8c205cef272695bf8d0af3193d621248b1dffb28f
573.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:02 P.M.
From: 0x000bac590bF29eF380733C864145397f54b227E6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a000c493d001e197b728a1ade3827de66f0e927d088c0b927673a7062605d
458.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:02 P.M.
From: 0x006736968e9F8B8536E0C0fC983A8a24FBA0b656
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063005c13bfe4656d676441b4bb86a0264b844e9cc055415a85e823a5623145
501.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 3:25:02 P.M.
From: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00130032eeb748cfc6f434430cc2567fef799c4442686330f6d836551d4f451a