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Spike bucket

09/06/2026, 3:17:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/06/2026, 3:17:00 P.M. to 09/06/2026, 3:18:00 P.M.

Fully observable spike

high confidence

100% coverage

High-confidence spike

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 300

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume

Relative context

Interpretation

This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

0 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0029d5d6AA23A49E61b03516DDb8aca1BBd7dECf • 0x002B50aEf068D378Ad526aF0dadd19BfaFab1dC6.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 55

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0029d5d6AA23A49E61b03516DDb8aca1BBd7dECf • 0x002B50aEf068D378Ad526aF0dadd19BfaFab1dC6.

0x0029d5d6AA23A49E61b03516DDb8aca1BBd7dECf -> 0x002B50aEf068D378Ad526aF0dadd19BfaFab1dC6 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence high • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/06/2026, 3:17:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.