Spike bucket
09/06/2026, 2:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/06/2026, 2:16:00 P.M. to 09/06/2026, 2:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2.93
Unexplained QUAI: 490.23
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
169x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
493.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61 • 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 493 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61 • 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/06/2026, 2:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
Balanced
Unknown type
2.93 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
Net sender
Unknown type
1.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
493.15 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:16:02 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,982.4 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:14:43 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2.93 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:17:21 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:13:25 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:18:36 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,227.11 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:12:06 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:19:57 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
2.36 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:10:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1.93 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 2:16:06 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 2:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00310001fa7460e880f9b7b83244df9e2574e3e5825804b480d9e1b7bd290d8f
1.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 2:16:06 P.M.
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
Tx: 0x002300363e2811d15b40b8c0150930a5798f7391fe7d4945702e81ac7734a4f6