Spike bucket
09/06/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/06/2026, 2:14:00 P.M. to 09/06/2026, 2:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
25% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 493.15
Unexplained QUAI: 1,489.25
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
1,982.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002529cc4F49449dB6FcDB52D3f1Eb591CaA0067 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1982 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002529cc4F49449dB6FcDB52D3f1Eb591CaA0067 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/06/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002529cc4F49449dB6FcDB52D3f1Eb591CaA0067
Net sender
Unknown type
489.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
489.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
Net sender
Unknown type
3.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 489.55 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:13:25 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,982.4 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:14:43 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,227.11 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:12:06 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
493.15 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:16:02 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2.36 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:10:47 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
2.93 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:17:21 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
428.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:09:28 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/06/2026, 2:18:36 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
489.55 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 2:14:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002529cc4F49449dB6FcDB52D3f1Eb591CaA0067
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
489.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 2:14:33 P.M.
From: 0x002529cc4F49449dB6FcDB52D3f1Eb591CaA0067
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018006e4fd42c8062d4e3ca9f79e6eae2aa7990675311c3cbfb1ae7c6ff5212
3.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 2:14:33 P.M.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0058001dea46e1ebb64808775703fedd0c44203585559a483d72ac877b9c71d9