Spike bucket
09/06/2026, 1:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/06/2026, 1:09:00 P.M. to 09/06/2026, 1:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 415.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
3.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
415.45 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 415 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/06/2026, 1:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
415.45 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Net sender
Unknown type
105.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
105.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00013a286CCE4d2D5C5b47A313977bb5B981A30b
Net sender
Unknown type
101.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
101.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 415.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
106.99 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/06/2026, 1:08:22 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
415.45 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/06/2026, 1:09:41 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
11.09 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/06/2026, 1:07:08 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/06/2026, 1:10:56 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate42 tx
4,438.01 QUAI • 57 addresses
09/06/2026, 1:05:48 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/06/2026, 1:12:14 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/06/2026, 1:04:34 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/06/2026, 1:13:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
105.76 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 1:09:30 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
105.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 1:09:30 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c0079d2fda3bc430109f0042893eb1b14232d01da30c44a870328a4637bb7
105.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 1:09:30 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0023007572ad248d7cc5a3f3fdf9691a34f504f5e2d178d561b647429b6e80ce
101.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 1:09:30 P.M.
From: 0x00013a286CCE4d2D5C5b47A313977bb5B981A30b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0071000a5ac34d745bdf257eb027cbe6cb29dfbd6b770a7dafd821b0d9db5a5f
101.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 1:09:30 P.M.
From: 0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00010076d4b3a6a7f48f412a0954cd45acfab9a4fd01c84f6ce973b9114a7fdb