Spike bucket
09/06/2026, 11:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/06/2026, 11:10:00 A.M. to 09/06/2026, 11:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 884.69
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
884.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 885 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/06/2026, 11:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
881 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
404.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00140382Bc5DDBa35cA720A835B607eF4720A05B
Net sender
Unknown type
152.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
115.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Net sender
Unknown type
106.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 881 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,033.81 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/06/2026, 11:09:55 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/06/2026, 11:08:41 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
884.69 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/06/2026, 11:11:11 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/06/2026, 11:12:28 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
11.75 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/06/2026, 11:07:26 A.M.
-4 min
44 tx
9,255.64 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/06/2026, 11:06:07 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
4,203.6 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/06/2026, 11:13:42 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate54 tx
21,761.3 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/06/2026, 11:04:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
404.25 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 11:10:20 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
3.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 11:10:33 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x0007001ad5aaabe6a050fcd3f6b08ed698bb8e747feb4e2e4725060def5f277f
106.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 11:10:20 A.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c0036f922e31e62ff33d0c3f5f8bdf6d9eed0174de11d68e98d8697a1b517
101.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 11:10:20 A.M.
From: 0x002CB9e989ADEFb45a1ea0448c509DF7Cd2677eC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004500610c2c8ec0966dc21006257e30195cd285fcb62232e8ae79617ae67507
152.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 11:10:20 A.M.
From: 0x00140382Bc5DDBa35cA720A835B607eF4720A05B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004400557df1a210b55473afa248805ba3ed7a7f95d6975102b033be42c662ed
115.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 11:10:20 A.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026002361779b3590c589f9f5d040aedef7464e16db02bdc55c6efd62bb8856
404.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 11:10:20 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046001cd00d3fdbbdbef653b03eed7652c30d7b7377817d155da2569f85ca90