Spike bucket
09/06/2026, 9:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/06/2026, 9:56:00 A.M. to 09/06/2026, 9:57:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
74% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 156.62
Unexplained QUAI: 54.21
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
210.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 211 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/06/2026, 9:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (26% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net sender
Unknown type
101.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
101.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
55.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 101.18 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
210.82 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/06/2026, 9:56:00 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,127.38 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/06/2026, 9:54:41 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
156.62 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/06/2026, 9:57:18 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
223.74 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/06/2026, 9:53:23 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/06/2026, 9:58:32 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/06/2026, 9:52:05 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/06/2026, 9:59:53 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/06/2026, 9:50:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
101.18 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 9:56:51 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
101.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 9:56:51 A.M.
From: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054002ef9b00d2ebc5ea19f6ed5349cb1506593bd504c6f99998bb6c972ffcf
55.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/06/2026, 9:56:23 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
Tx: 0x00380032f2724f877ec6b189a8fb52193e620849fbe5ec0e887d6d6fd64ee4fa