Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 12:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 12:14:00 P.M. to 08/20/2026, 12:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
99% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,996.37
Unexplained QUAI: 15.16
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
7.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
6
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
3,011.53 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 3012 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 12:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,996.37 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e
Net sender
Unknown type
1,236.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006e783E57a1cDF3A65eeF2e23cdD6a53F587Ae3
Net sender
Unknown type
1,015.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002880550385b321A047E3192909ceC981b1c124
Net sender
Unknown type
726.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
7.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
3.51 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:13:39 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
3,011.53 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:14:50 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:12:29 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:16:01 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:11:17 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:17:11 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
16.17 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:10:06 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:18:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,236.63 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:14:10 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
7.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0021004db618ba992d9d65048e681282d36c7464520dd25cd672ad8d7f394133
5.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000c0073af9a5bb9170d29bcd1f6eb534431d237b4c82155ea735eb54ae06d43
4.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0066000fc01d581a9a0249770eee11a4995946522e030f08a80b08533f1e6975
1,236.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006e0027a7ea639307806486d676d4add7db43ad290ee69f6061ebf4f2f802d8
726.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x002880550385b321A047E3192909ceC981b1c124
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000d007db7b05fa9d754723f09be49e316c36568bc74af3a879757809444eba3
1,015.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x006e783E57a1cDF3A65eeF2e23cdD6a53F587Ae3
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0074007f715740d3f7fc1eaa8c192f28e21892ba3fe71a5b0b15a11630f2a42e
