Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 11:49:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 11:49:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 11:50:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,505.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
11,505.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 11505 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 11:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
11,505.29 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,753.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
Net sender
Unknown type
5,752.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
12,981.13 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 11:48:44 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
5,753.11 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 11:47:33 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
11,505.29 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 11:49:54 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/20/2026, 11:51:07 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 11:46:22 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
389.78 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 11:52:17 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
4.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 11:45:12 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
113.06 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/20/2026, 11:53:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,753.11 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 11:49:09 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5,753.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 11:49:09 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x001f00662b1ece69ddd797eb9607e946a8bad6d125d0dbfec096a6f9e31c943e
5,752.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 11:49:09 A.M.
From: 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x001f003715774f77d5f2a938a72fcbf9e0d89a4f40f99795ed4ecd72168c25bd