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Spike bucket

08/20/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/20/2026, 11:13:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 11:14:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

99% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 567.64

Unexplained QUAI: 3.78

Explained QI: 0

Unexplained QI: 5.91

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume

Relative context

0.8x above local average

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

571.42 QUAI

5.91 QI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 571 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 08/20/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F

Net sender

Unknown type

356.1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB

Net receiver

Unknown type

356.1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

211.54 QUAI across 3 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0064c629990f6219038b5d3107784c01C614D328

Net receiver

Unknown type

106.08 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0002387b3a4B402bC4Fb876c2163bAD986cfD1FC

Net receiver

Unknown type

54.85 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.