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Spike bucket

08/20/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/20/2026, 11:12:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.

Fully observable spike

high confidence

100% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

High-confidence spike

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 3.78

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 5.91

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume

Relative context

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

0 QUAI

5.91 QI

Avg confidence

81.0%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x002b2596EcF05C93a31ff916E8b456DF6C77c750 • 0x00De02201A9eF27aEAE0fa5998AE4Ca6ba3DB9A0.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 63

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x002b2596EcF05C93a31ff916E8b456DF6C77c750 • 0x00De02201A9eF27aEAE0fa5998AE4Ca6ba3DB9A0.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows

Confidence high • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 08/20/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.