Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 10:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 10:50:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 10:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
62% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,602.23
Unexplained QUAI: 3,404.88
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
9,007.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00493Bb07C6eB2f8F70b481AeCB2Ef628b750470.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 9007 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00493Bb07C6eB2f8F70b481AeCB2Ef628b750470.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 10:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (38% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
5,246 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00493Bb07C6eB2f8F70b481AeCB2Ef628b750470
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,246 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net sender
Unknown type
353.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Net receiver
Unknown type
353.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
3.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 5,246 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:49:32 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
9,007.11 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:50:43 A.M.
-2 min
17 tx
15,150.58 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:48:20 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3.12 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:51:54 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
593.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:47:09 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate5 tx
18,289.45 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:53:04 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:45:57 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
7.78 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:54:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,246 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 10:50:05 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00493Bb07C6eB2f8F70b481AeCB2Ef628b750470
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 10:50:51 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x006c00174ee985423ef743d2abe276af82684b5fc2bcb65f7f985340df55f890
353.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 10:50:34 A.M.
From: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x0056005e35c53f4b1c4b46b28b17a5de16f9f79371d39e7f344d937e3db59936
5,246 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 10:50:05 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00493Bb07C6eB2f8F70b481AeCB2Ef628b750470
Tx: 0x00530021d56820ff5205c385e37bf7efe6be1d62f7329a48a643f43b30002358