Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 10:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 10:08:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
3% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18.05
Unexplained QUAI: 501.95
Explained QI: 5.81
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
2
15.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
520 QUAI
5.81 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 520 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 10:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
18.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Net receiver
Unknown type
18.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b2596EcF05C93a31ff916E8b456DF6C77c750
Net sender
Unknown type
5.81 QI across 1 visible row
0x00F50FFfDCB49E7b690C7a5879eA991FBDeE8Fa7
Net receiver
Unknown type
5.81 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
520 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:08:09 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:06:58 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
349.33 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:09:21 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,844.66 QUAI • 68 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:05:47 A.M.
-3 min
53 tx
1,172.09 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:04:36 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
1,460.4 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:10:32 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:11:43 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/20/2026, 10:03:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
18.05 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 10:08:04 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5.81 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 10:08:04 A.M.
From: 0x002b2596EcF05C93a31ff916E8b456DF6C77c750
To: 0x00F50FFfDCB49E7b690C7a5879eA991FBDeE8Fa7
Tx: 0x000800fe8e6990e7d6645854a195d6c5aa3cebc2b702ff34cdccccb63394c597
18.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 10:08:04 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x006400679d2e35ee80f8268f01289ee2b48e7a25c3ead247ad4c706127ad4451