Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 8:14:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 8:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 126.7
Unexplained QUAI: 75,547.81
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
6.7x above local average
6.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
6
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
75,674.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0059aAd1D91E4Ff7673F6aEcA68CfcBdE828E6E5 • 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 75675 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0059aAd1D91E4Ff7673F6aEcA68CfcBdE828E6E5 • 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0059aAd1D91E4Ff7673F6aEcA68CfcBdE828E6E5
Net sender
Unknown type
101 QUAI across 2 visible rows
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
25.7 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Net sender
Unknown type
7.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Net sender
Unknown type
6.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
905.27 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:13:40 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate12 tx
75,674.51 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:14:51 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
11,760.86 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:12:29 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:16:02 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
742.82 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:11:18 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:17:13 A.M.
-4 min
21 tx
876.92 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:10:07 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:18:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
100 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:14:26 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0059aAd1D91E4Ff7673F6aEcA68CfcBdE828E6E5
To: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:14:26 A.M.
From: 0x0059aAd1D91E4Ff7673F6aEcA68CfcBdE828E6E5
To: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x007c00087ebd3494f0d798416b86ee7fdd4817b252503586a5b82dfe9c293fc7
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:14:26 A.M.
From: 0x0059aAd1D91E4Ff7673F6aEcA68CfcBdE828E6E5
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x006c00758bdc2820285d803ea2fd7501c758d1c3753c2a1609373cc3aaa14933
5.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:14:26 A.M.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002a0025007dacf35456bd648d3dceacfa4874325c95ef8caafac1953584224b
6.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:14:26 A.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003500200e1d73c18a24f61ead2a74ba6abb56f3f08ea433beabd76352e88830
7.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:14:26 A.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0053001be34e8c44d6e0999f595989cc332d1c3da547d907b3c09c3129495fa7
6.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:14:26 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003300703b2b8ec516c2b553a17bcd1c2a70c0a975a1e6c3972b51b71e969d69
