Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 8:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 8:11:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 8:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,440.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.8x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
742.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x0004cA7D720B6c7950b659008fCD713b6111D4c4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 743 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x0004cA7D720B6c7950b659008fCD713b6111D4c4.
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b -> 0x0004cA7D720B6c7950b659008fCD713b6111D4c4 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 8:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
Net sender
Unknown type
2,436.55 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0004cA7D720B6c7950b659008fCD713b6111D4c4
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,578.87 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Net receiver
Unknown type
588.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055A661dD998d678DE30FBaceCc284ef40206A1
Net receiver
Unknown type
268.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
3.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b → 0x0004cA7D720B6c7950b659008fCD713b6111D4c4
2 repeated flows • 1,578.87 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
742.82 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:11:18 A.M.
-1 min
21 tx
876.92 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:10:07 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
11,760.86 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:12:29 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:08:56 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:07:46 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
905.27 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:13:40 A.M.
-4 min
53 tx
22,461.36 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:06:33 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate12 tx
75,674.51 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:14:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,012.73 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:11:34 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x0004cA7D720B6c7950b659008fCD713b6111D4c4
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
566.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:11:44 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x0004cA7D720B6c7950b659008fCD713b6111D4c4
Tx: 0x001d006272724f0efa515d2b02dd6dc9e779a170358cf7d27038200138657d77
1,012.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x0004cA7D720B6c7950b659008fCD713b6111D4c4
Tx: 0x002f000be4aa2893718919edb58abcbea4dcb998b77ba2530218400ac436a4b9
3.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:11:17 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0031002c9f90d3490458a0c57a26e3a1dbb823a338d8cc55538fb5cbbd3dab09
588.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:11:17 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Tx: 0x002300768303e61a5ccc8c96594b9e99ea3267771c3b070320563bac1e66519c
268.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:11:17 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x0055A661dD998d678DE30FBaceCc284ef40206A1
Tx: 0x0057004da5348522081ce9ac62ce1f6356851888ad1cfbf0c279be95f96f3c51