Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 8:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 8:04:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 8:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45,043.19
Unexplained QUAI: 45,368.29
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
4.6x above local average
187x previous minute
188x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
54
Observable rows
3
5.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
67
Asset volume
90,411.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 90411 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 8:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
44,545.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
44,545.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Net sender
Unknown type
481.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
481.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
15.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 481.84 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate54 tx
90,411.47 QUAI • 67 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:04:11 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
482.2 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:03:00 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
481.84 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:05:22 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
44,764.71 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:01:50 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:00:39 A.M.
+3 min
53 tx
22,461.36 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:06:33 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 8:07:46 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 7:59:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
44,545.4 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:04:04 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
481.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:04:58 A.M.
From: 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007000649d7ac2fc49331de29e726bb6e707292a06c00ca596cabea8c9da85c4
15.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:04:04 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x000a002bfd5e999b727d38b07d3d0bbe316dd191848707acc57655df6afc92c9
44,545.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 8:04:04 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x003b003b80b3b4a84ec45174165b8218e80c06515103407b5d4fcb2b24ab95ca