Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 5:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 5:50:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 5:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 839.72
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
839.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0041650332D399883bf853de8Cc11D2516F5D47e • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 840 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0041650332D399883bf853de8Cc11D2516F5D47e • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 5:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0041650332D399883bf853de8Cc11D2516F5D47e
Net sender
Unknown type
453.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
453.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
236.85 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
180.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0071c6779117dAd757b21E985802cD118bfe9dE6
Net sender
Unknown type
149.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 453.62 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 5:49:55 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 5:48:43 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
839.72 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/20/2026, 5:51:06 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/20/2026, 5:47:33 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/20/2026, 5:52:17 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 5:53:27 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
5,314.13 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 5:46:22 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
150 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 5:45:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
453.62 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 5:50:09 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0041650332D399883bf853de8Cc11D2516F5D47e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
55.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 5:50:45 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0044EcE383135874C9149Ef6DAa65F67FFE5dAd3
Tx: 0x007500437aadf1d167d836e3b03f88b7875318b36afb2d617f7d4919c616d062
149.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 5:50:09 A.M.
From: 0x0071c6779117dAd757b21E985802cD118bfe9dE6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00190077c37cfaa6cc79bcfc7ee249818972b532a520f3efec6c1c1d060b1191
180.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 5:50:09 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0005003b23e59c08028a38347ccdd3684e18bc0fa6380285904f1027901632a1
453.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 5:50:09 A.M.
From: 0x0041650332D399883bf853de8Cc11D2516F5D47e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d002b0afb903b88b1d0bcd860d5b125c9d460330e3847ced4a5fface1652e