Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 4:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 4:10:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,097.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
2.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
3,097.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00342714c42eB178bD751f3b7CB3f7b7D89EE099.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3098 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00342714c42eB178bD751f3b7CB3f7b7D89EE099.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 4:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,097.68 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00342714c42eB178bD751f3b7CB3f7b7D89EE099
Net sender
Unknown type
1,766.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F20394d85D8D3C9B3395736be4150D3eB6B0E
Net sender
Unknown type
476.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
445.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Net sender
Unknown type
104.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,097.68 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
90.04 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:09:42 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
1,299.66 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:08:31 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
3,097.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:10:53 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2,179.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:12:03 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate51 tx
21,797.49 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:07:20 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:13:14 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:06:09 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
11.18 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:14:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,766.2 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:10:48 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00342714c42eB178bD751f3b7CB3f7b7D89EE099
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
102.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x00013a286CCE4d2D5C5b47A313977bb5B981A30b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005001f074ead12652942e26d2cd5878129ecb18cf255053592b40f8af90ca5
101 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0033d34e8052a6d97ddac9e0c2842885788f57140a20bf312c452bdc430a
104.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0025db56e20fe8d6df787ff5c068e6b28cb78f44d0997115a90c287879ae
101.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0071004b1489a48f142738a6693c7992016fd381728badc4a5a19d41523fe46b
445.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004600771a643b4f5e7d5844138d61e70ef67a4c3986763ff51fe7cc3407a47b
1,766.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x00342714c42eB178bD751f3b7CB3f7b7D89EE099
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00270066893aaff0efaae31dcbfb0f0360169927169c7af47d4c9f33a85851cd
476.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x002F20394d85D8D3C9B3395736be4150D3eB6B0E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b000cbb0ec8c9d0f4e08ea84e15e3b093521089af7ad94f69836f7efa5c29