Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 4:08:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 4:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
96% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,241.55
Unexplained QUAI: 58.11
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
13
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
1,299.66 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1300 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
709.78 QUAI across 10 visible rows
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
528.4 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002F20394d85D8D3C9B3395736be4150D3eB6B0E
Net receiver
Unknown type
467.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0073Ab3ad21Ae3246f15fB19d6D312a7f014F79d
Net receiver
Unknown type
223.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
169.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate51 tx
21,797.49 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:07:20 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
1,299.66 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:08:31 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:06:09 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
90.04 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:09:42 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
967.81 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:04:59 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
3,097.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:10:53 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:03:48 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
2,179.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 4:12:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
467.92 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x002F20394d85D8D3C9B3395736be4150D3eB6B0E
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
60.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:51 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x00350054e7713d6330dc99053978e6f97f6d403ed91451aec992112bcd044c2f
3.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:51 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x000c0045dc99c36eb8a53bc47a5acf9e80641b6d0569b845f97eb1a40b96ae01
467.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x002F20394d85D8D3C9B3395736be4150D3eB6B0E
Tx: 0x007900010fce81ae9d2544223b11a2703ed71f3e2b53500ade525220b6c22c20
136.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x003f001624fde2524100f911a8bf46df4425f91d6aa4bef85b92720f54420c6e
223.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0073Ab3ad21Ae3246f15fB19d6D312a7f014F79d
Tx: 0x003f0047b771dce0026fd783861b56b98b4f9ec06ed48e65f1ef1265204b8799
5.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004528a0A6e03b254D20593d159860aafb779C29
Tx: 0x006e004070f93a3ca2ec9dcec855ffc69af4d29f2d9b00307d50af502414c27c
101.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014ba1157C5C82Bffb8BCA967883bD0669d304C
Tx: 0x006f00087ed9326a21b32b468d0c59e98dc775932f236fa7e12f497d63479f1a
33.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x000a005697bb2b5ce3c77084fe1659f5aa4648c45d7437bfc6cf9faac05edb96
169.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00080000f7defefc9873fce7ae57ab589b8507d189363ca75dd6ccc3c308a022
4.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00165B99043521763bb87537D7c7C24EC32247d2
Tx: 0x005e007f741829851eb8c44b0235d6de8391ec7ba33bc0b8107176ec1baff1ea
5.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x003b001eb8132658a5939f3ce81ccf0e4d31e79729fc026b5e933c1fb0cf4de6
24.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x003d001c0dd7ef3e45b7303ed82e532bfd36153508827181ed85ed57db350692
5.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 4:08:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
Tx: 0x0027003abd949ce5c65532c9c1f1871c9ec42da6f9adfbf9ed26498eabb65ee7
