Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 3:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 3:18:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 3:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
29% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 260.14
Unexplained QUAI: 650.17
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
910.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006ef91c7a9049Ac7dbB999e119bfF3e39ea96B0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 910 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006ef91c7a9049Ac7dbB999e119bfF3e39ea96B0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 3:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
134.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef91c7a9049Ac7dbB999e119bfF3e39ea96B0
Net receiver
Unknown type
134.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
125.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d1b468555E32cc3299406451d0393631aE482
Net receiver
Unknown type
125.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
3,196.69 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:17:46 A.M.
-1 min
13 tx
14,257.77 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:16:34 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
910.31 QUAI • 4 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:18:56 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
5,715.05 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:20:07 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
12,608.76 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:15:24 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
7,256.61 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:21:21 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate13 tx
17,764.83 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:14:13 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
6,231.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:13:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
134.49 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 3:18:56 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006ef91c7a9049Ac7dbB999e119bfF3e39ea96B0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
134.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 3:18:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006ef91c7a9049Ac7dbB999e119bfF3e39ea96B0
Tx: 0x005b005ef262f18c5df72efc32ffc4780c5dcf6e4f86d552f66469ae3dacdb7b
125.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 3:18:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d1b468555E32cc3299406451d0393631aE482
Tx: 0x002d0045a25e62631ed9eabba30cbe97fb08b9417c0fc5f320a8083b6e7dfa4f