Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 3:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 3:08:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 3:09:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
24% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,501.01
Unexplained QUAI: 4,780.49
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
2.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
29
Observable rows
6
20.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
43
Asset volume
6,281.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 6281 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 3:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
874.75 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Net receiver
Unknown type
698.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
626.26 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Net receiver
Unknown type
290.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006081b102b55Bc49351D39193353F8BCfFA2eAF
Net receiver
Unknown type
199.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
29 tx
6,281.49 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:08:17 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:07:06 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
2,321.56 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:09:28 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate61 tx
10,141.42 QUAI • 73 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:05:55 A.M.
-3 min
54 tx
4,484.38 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:04:43 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
417.37 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:10:41 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
1,192.52 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:03:32 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,258.05 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 3:11:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
698.1 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 3:08:04 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
290.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 3:08:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Tx: 0x0027007196927eb7aa986eb145e9943d710cad1a432407bfca32142783312d8f
96.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 3:08:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Tx: 0x004a00158bd9278a76e3c41a1b94d7b4c1d828cc1b7ea54849f1d3998dc5a032
80.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 3:08:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0063B7EcE01A26afda1E602cCD29B771C428b62F
Tx: 0x006b005b28419bd1db74081d5f14b186f68f27292227ff4986f724b53bc0d546
136.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 3:08:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00611e2cF57B087bAccf7A12498119D49f28FDd6
Tx: 0x002d00518f0afa9543e4cedc435a178919c5fdfb8062cac559d1b7d4c2f886e5
698.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 3:08:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Tx: 0x001d007e0527f236a8a5a9b30f44b474c83bf9e19c9a89b5739af9607b3393ee
199.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 3:08:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006081b102b55Bc49351D39193353F8BCfFA2eAF
Tx: 0x00390006b63f465f4318bda94ee98f4c120be6cf015d6372f3008974e81092e9