Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 2:55:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,931.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 76% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.6x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
3,490.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3491 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net sender
Unknown type
13,619.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,619.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,835.76 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,380.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,476.32 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
3,490.94 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:55:11 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
5,391.51 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
19,708.67 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:56:22 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
12,497.5 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:52:50 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
746.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:51:39 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
783.31 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:57:33 A.M.
+4 min
11 tx
16,372.99 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:58:46 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate25 tx
41,578.13 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:50:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,619.37 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:55:23 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
101.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:55:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0053E9fdF56E58dce123AAC0145DD24DDB6Ea507
Tx: 0x0008002eb09833bc724457ce9abb2ce12d36f1cacdac0e479b127daebc98e565
455.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:55:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
Tx: 0x00460027d5cfb19d900c6e07f38dba2093272ff35193ed4beaf54abd6892a291
1,374.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:55:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Tx: 0x0032000fc30f951a9cb99b4f07902b338507166c3c12868b53ee107bf4b6d516
2,380.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:55:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Tx: 0x0069007af573863ae9a3498851bf0f2239e8e24f0fa607aba183ff553842f00c
13,619.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:55:23 A.M.
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0063001c99f43aba59c353fcf5c99e4d0b5490f924d5af34b09b08e4dfedaf2e