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Spike bucket

08/20/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/20/2026, 2:48:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
93% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,886.32
Unexplained QUAI: 530.58
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.3x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
5
83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
7,416.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 7417 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
5,555.89 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
639.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Net receiver
Unknown type
639.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
612.69 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

5,000 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:48:10 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED

All transfers in this selected minute

5 transactions
78.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:48:29 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007A4d520a7eCDe384f6F3FCA494EFDB16DA54C5
Tx: 0x000300058984db5a210a08f546ca2fe60bd6fcee82790522ecf7872b9dcb0e42
639.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:48:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Tx: 0x0068006a6118531863047b829f3e78af74ae3a39dfa258ab2be6626d311b29da
612.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:48:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c15DF23fC40eAf28a1e79Aa575555177BCc5B
Tx: 0x004600385a27e019aed057c6d4250379644e595c8eb117b20badd5add028d96f
Open txWallet profile
555.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:48:10 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0025CDF6196DAEcB54c3766921b7887ffE9cE148
Tx: 0x0056005a0d0bfd6a4a10e2ce0c90b7c372305f68456b5d96bf924c58c504f74e
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:48:10 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Tx: 0x0069003ea26c636906681c54fed23c39529c3e38122708a2e5bfe249f5f17d42