Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 2:39:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,498.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
1,046.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004076e55e4c01e4866EE0a79cc5937A0Dc726A5.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1047 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004076e55e4c01e4866EE0a79cc5937A0Dc726A5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
634.95 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004076e55e4c01e4866EE0a79cc5937A0Dc726A5
Net receiver
Unknown type
579.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
503.53 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003F4dc3382E25ee9Ad4cBE107271b773Bc78aee
Net receiver
Unknown type
437.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
360.48 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate30 tx
13,720.14 QUAI • 41 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:38:31 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,046.63 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:39:43 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,437.3 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:37:18 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
8,351.49 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:40:54 A.M.
-3 min
17 tx
5,552.4 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:36:07 A.M.
+3 min
23 tx
12,740.54 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:42:06 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:34:55 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
405.9 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:43:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
579.2 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:39:43 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004076e55e4c01e4866EE0a79cc5937A0Dc726A5
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
579.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:39:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004076e55e4c01e4866EE0a79cc5937A0Dc726A5
Tx: 0x005c003a554a5844c95426353f45d00ce13e7445d13a9824f2f739fe1a59b742
65.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:39:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F8005224A4337d1b0B90898792343862cc0Fd
Tx: 0x0040001800d8705e4cfb469af41ff546a673f65ea8b3163e3b46e31ce42c6b3b
205.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:39:43 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005AFcf13582330d6ADC4189833E1cC677189b93
Tx: 0x00460016e5246e6189523dba9aa1271e8e8319f466061477da4d1fcba27a46fe
154.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:39:01 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0058b70bA143A711E425E495C9f07309453b4130
Tx: 0x001f0057f775a91f8d2e1db0ecb7f8a52710814e8063a0ca25b514a63ed4b323
55.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:39:01 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0040157C1BdC5a7887c3616fEa4118Cf8728F850
Tx: 0x0017007993a04b9a6545b66b79268c1d55032f2ea0c07df310e166c1cea4d661
437.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:39:01 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F4dc3382E25ee9Ad4cBE107271b773Bc78aee
Tx: 0x002f0029f30c35e5a3a6c2e3e06f1900d2cb57f037775465434a48bdcb297d04
