Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
90% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,265.54
Unexplained QUAI: 135.29
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
1,400.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1401 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
549.33 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Net receiver
Unknown type
397.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
348.03 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003652E20175d40e92f1EeC33d9EBa084f25E6Bb
Net receiver
Unknown type
343.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
262.73 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
1,400.84 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:31:20 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
7,262.73 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:30:09 A.M.
-2 min
25 tx
15,283.87 QUAI • 39 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:28:58 A.M.
+2 min
29 tx
16,860.49 QUAI • 39 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:32:32 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
5,330.37 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:27:47 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate9 tx
17,201.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:33:44 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
5,919.25 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:26:34 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:34:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
343.42 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:31:26 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003652E20175d40e92f1EeC33d9EBa084f25E6Bb
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
71.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:31:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0035aA7F2c26655d359283F41eceD4465F0DC941
Tx: 0x0013007b84d2e388a6f8694df5a61b6f2a664e4ab43b8bd7ddd1ce210cdd1c22
89.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:31:26 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003d52F680f08272661A42C320831b54Ff1f21dd
Tx: 0x0029003bfcc978419788309db26d3f7bd369c14f773a41ea8169ae015f5f4c89
343.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:31:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003652E20175d40e92f1EeC33d9EBa084f25E6Bb
Tx: 0x00250027766f339d08a094ea9923c9d8b2463f5c269c7f680d1e401a35f2a009
205.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:31:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Tx: 0x003c005702f28c761fb96eb03342309ecc76b570914293fe725e5b044d977c38
258.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:31:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x001c002f05b606037afbd46c42bb465f8ac3bd96f28b75d9eaaf0c0159ba585e
191.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:31:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Tx: 0x000c0005ed0d0dd1745feb54dc887a8743a6946a93fd88df5de329a8f17bf59c
105.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:31:17 A.M.
From: 0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9
To: 0x007B18657b28737665Ad98F16D6f407F17529915
Tx: 0x006e005a69a358c49b0bee2b7b39c72f5f977b02d4fcc99e36fb13dff0c56c08