Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 2:21:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 705.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
705.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 706 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
278.37 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
242.78 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0017bE394941A14825D130Aac4B9bd6C80329992
Net receiver
Unknown type
212.71 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
184.53 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Net receiver
Unknown type
183.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
5,355.32 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:20:36 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
705.68 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:21:47 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,380.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:19:25 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate33 tx
19,802.78 QUAI • 45 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:22:59 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
10,020.72 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:18:14 A.M.
+3 min
25 tx
9,135.88 QUAI • 37 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:24:11 A.M.
-4 min
21 tx
18,543.27 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:17:02 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
2,740.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:25:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
183.29 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:21:18 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
105.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:21:18 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0017bE394941A14825D130Aac4B9bd6C80329992
Tx: 0x001b007ca3155f305100376bbcf03d0656028f2d07df8ffd8be3113f1595160a
107.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:21:18 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017bE394941A14825D130Aac4B9bd6C80329992
Tx: 0x001f00270bfb807a56103e9bf4e14bc5ba72244dc660fbf71185b1c8caf565e3
183.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:21:18 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Tx: 0x005e0063e7f50b5b2fd98221d3f9540fcdde0e6561851f1dbdcf8c036ede318c
77.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:21:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017438536777eC422ebc63AB1d7095B2e53E140
Tx: 0x00360043a36024d7b984f938fe5d3f6a51594b16c225fd738e61e828d7cfa73c
95.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:21:16 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x00300071fd7f9f25ade30fd77b9619158fc356ac841d8161573a54bb7495a8df
137.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:21:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x006f001692939180b5e307345e543ba4272708f906d4b29ee824d4e675d486d7