Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 2:16:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,306.94
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.4x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
18
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
10,306.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 10307 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,706 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,940.97 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,364.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,902.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,668.49 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
8,758.52 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:15:49 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate17 tx
25,240.06 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:14:38 A.M.
+1 min
21 tx
18,543.27 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:17:02 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
10,020.72 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:18:14 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
20,042.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:13:28 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,380.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:19:25 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
6.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:12:17 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:11:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,364.01 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
73.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000A08feDE486A4aeb33C0d36f636429F719E210
Tx: 0x005b004a1494f9dcca410aff035aa6c771277cf7138f997c47de64e54e9bb20d
517 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x00290041adf159841bb27a6b8b4a9db7cd891d860391e9c938194706b33386d5
512.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
Tx: 0x003f00793a2d83a8e625b96b570a498e4ae2ffbe18f897bafdfbec75a6e3385a
60.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000A33544feAEDCFB71a122927a5Fe3D2B7E8B87
Tx: 0x007d006d2628f5f4c645ef4812352d5b32113d4608aa1d25641e8b5ee1a73074
379.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Tx: 0x002f001015071809dad5eb3d78d4f7de5fd3438af148fb5529d16036f763ee64
2,364.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x00430068b1833de42fcf3174e8b554382935bd83be89d156647a6bbba1f90924
252.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000bac590bF29eF380733C864145397f54b227E6
Tx: 0x0003004887230f48f118639cd7ed4620f090455a561b609fc54d659dc2c418e6
274.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x004a0030dee38997588ad443c2f6de632aed350c8fdaab93741b9cfbf2470e1b
245.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:37 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0008CE4fAfC03955D640E98f9ad27DF0eBf43331
Tx: 0x004400444d52625ae571d3ab396fb12c7a413e50b34bcf254ef54b89599057ab
45.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:33 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Tx: 0x00510033b49daa2ef5cd2235c4bd36c516661bbb27e9807919771ea077f7b4b4
480.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Tx: 0x00580058ec5c58a4e8f7580df1e8ea5b52c347313639852e8432c9d33d249b68
361.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00096c96Df1b4095D10e101ac2A85Ece114cE35D
Tx: 0x0062003917258eab430501e70d73d5820e6e81c40c01579a0d7d984639d8cfbf
147.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:31 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00082Dda7A19f1c4e423A4F6ceC2405965f3da88
Tx: 0x00130072025a3cceba1e5091a67359e9a1b3c295fff72dcf0acd5794968b390d
1,902.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
Tx: 0x0041004aca5ac8c5e704eea40ca4d30ea02f3a2bef0137acca8d0b2d26d632e8
1,623.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Tx: 0x001b007c15e2c3fab92bec34797a8fdbe4a7eea7bd20b7b26c2d8a653b51e182
806.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf
Tx: 0x00560024dc15dc725ae2e055cd6877074662c335c8cbe8e47705fc8f087be6ea
88.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:06 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00082b7Bd35B16676299594fdfd3B585aAEE0d41
Tx: 0x00560007204e1c4fa810561114446a0d7a20a2b56947069b895326663952a686
171.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:16:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C6faED4faB16A50Fd2674cFfC24c552846f16
Tx: 0x004500443ed7cc793aef11e5e68db8f1089f77799463bb71dfab8204d2f47f09