Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 2:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 2:13:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,734.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
2877x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
14
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
20,042.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20042 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 2:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,215.04 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
911.11 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
Net receiver
Unknown type
554.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
519.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,215.04 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
20,042.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:13:28 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
6.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:12:17 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:11:06 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate17 tx
25,240.06 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:14:38 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
16.69 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:09:56 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
8,758.52 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:15:49 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
82.31 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:08:46 A.M.
+4 min
21 tx
18,543.27 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/20/2026, 2:17:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.66 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
60.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0002B456145ffE686Ad32360fFe4b81902d58807
Tx: 0x006c0046c394152895bc647922a82e63ea81c9f98e07b8f120236062cd4acc1d
519.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00001F89242De86f43840E10678c0e36CcF7E590
Tx: 0x004d007051843699ea7be9fb032574e3356236930bd034293198fa21a00c3766
137.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0002D61224A089B9d53C9045d1F133dDCDF0F8dA
Tx: 0x0074000a9d10aa61d7dc0a3ec2bb15b90db1014240751de546b9d9cf970f5cf5
101.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016002818eae8703e42d28514c83e0db24c5e455f8cf57ecb4a437f2b8195a3
114.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0058005699559e22864dbb8dfcae496a577692d5194052fd01b48051456a3e4f
19,998.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006400653f2ca8b28aa3013afff04744b162173ebe1b4c2bcde1fad23a0d580d
6.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00010066faf958724f4b6b931dcb3d90216d7bbdfb0f5a3abc76afc023db6673
3.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x00051a801E6E9293A8A2d978a80A45AA231a6A8e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003a005f1d497a87e167612c4df2db5137c4202061c6f40b485b99aad257a568
5.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004400132e1d8db7b6cb1c337c78853c40147811bb2d4e7e15e74d12ffce95ab
6.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00230071e3f12f8ac4e3c63fddafccd8d2bb0e2866b67cf38bab1c9d257b494e
5.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0030002210e710ccb43d3dbd182cdc176a4af5c83e1589437fbf1b3d73f46f50
554.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
Tx: 0x007d0019159fb5e113b2d8c10412a705fecad61d207c418f94c098775c8b4875
219.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0000f98e42a7E6D1C3e6eEce33A7202cCF6C597b
Tx: 0x004d002dd8874b26aeef6222786d2fd9f1ea86cfbebe5e138e987e27228387cd
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 2:13:05 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x0027006d3e3ab97cecd5fe8f6337aead161fe983af951540be5e5054e7b69d1c
